Articles

Tree Fruit Disease - Predicting Infection Periods to Apply Protection

This article will help you manually determine infection periods for certain tree fruit diseases. Also included is a table listing coppers available to manage bacterial spot during cover sprays.
Updated:
June 26, 2024

Predicting infection periods allows you to apply protection before an infection event. You will need a thermometer to record daily high temperatures and nightly low temperatures. 

Predicting Apple Scab using the Revised Mills Table

  • Keep track of the average temperature (°F) - maximum and minimum temperature during wetting event.
  • When there is a wetting event, manually keep track of when rain starts and when leaves dry to calculate leaf wetness hours.
Revised Mills Table
Temperature (°F) Wetness hours
34 41
36 35
37 30
39 28
41 21
43 18
45 15
46 13
48 12
50 11
52 9
54-56 8
57-59 7
61-75 6
77 8
79 11

Using Cougarblight to determine Fire blight infection

Cougarblight is a risk assessment model developed at Washington State University for determining the risk of fire blight infection on flower blossoms. Similar to MaryBlyt, this model should be used from first bloom until only a few blossoms remain. Cougarblight can be used with a paper, pencil, and a few reference tables to estimate the level of risk for fire blight infection based on degree days and history of fire blight in or around your orchard the previous growing season.

Cougarblight requirements

  • Flowers are open
  • Heat accumulation (4 day accumulation of degree hours)
  • Wetting event (dew, rain, or spray treatment)

How to use the tables

  1. Keep daily record of daytime high temperature and nighttime low temperature during pink through bloom.
  2. Go to Table 1: Degree Hours
  3. To record the degree hours, look for the Daytime High Temperature, then the corresponding low number. If the low temp was 49.9°F or below, look in Column A. If low temp is 50°F or higher look in Column B.
  4. Determine where you are on a particular day: Add the degree hours: the current day + yesterday + 2 days ago + 3 days ago
  5. Based on the total numbers, look at Table 2: Blight History and first determine what your blight history is, then move along the row to your total for the 4 day accumulation of degree hours to determine your fire blight risk.
Table 1: Degree Hours
Daytime High Temperature (°F) Column A Degree Hours per Night if Low is 49.9°F or Below Column B Degree Hours per Night if Low is 50°F or Higher
60 0 0
62 2 5
63 5 12
64 10 22
65 14 29
66 20 35
67 26 42
68 33 50
69 42 60
70 52 70
71 62 80
72 47 92
73 87 105
74 100 120
75 115 134
76 130 151
77 146 169
78 162 189
79 178 209
80 195 230
81 212 250
82 228 265
83 243 280
84 257 292
85 266 302
86 274 310
87 280 315
88 285 320
89 288 325
90 290 330
92 287 335
93 284 333
94 280 330
95 274 325
96 267 317
97 260 309
98 254 302
99 246 293
100 238 285
101 230 275
102 222 268
103 216 259
104 208 250
105 200 240
Table 2: Blight History. Values for "Risk" are a 4-Day Degree Hour Sum
Blight History Low Risk Marginal Risk High Risk Extreme Risk
None in your area during the past 2 seasons 0-400 400-500 500-800 800+
Blight in the region but not near your orchard in the last year 0-350 350-400 400-650 650+
Blight in or neighboring your orchard last year 0-150 150-300 300-500 500+
Active blight strikes or cankers in your orchard or a neighboring orchard 0-100 100-200 200-350 350+

Cherry leaf spot: Determining infection periods

Using Cherry leaf spot table

  1. Keep track of average temperature--maximum and minimum temperature during wetting event.
  2. When there is a wetting event, manually keep track of when rain starts and when leaves dry to calculate leaf wetness hours.

Cherry Leaf Spot Table: Approximate minimum number of hours of leaf wetness required to produce leaf spot infections caused by conidia on sour cherries. Requirements for primary (ascospore) infections are presumed to be similar.

Cherry Leaf Spot Table
Average Temperature (°F) Hours of wetness from the beginning of the rain
46 28
47 25
48 23
49 20
50 19
51 17
52 15
53 14
54 12
55 11
56 10
57 9
58 8
59-60 7
61-62 6
63-68 5
69-70 6
71-72 7
73 8
74 9
75 11
76 12
77 14
78 16
79 18
80 21
81 28

Data of S. Eisensmith and A. Jones, Michigan State University.
We wish to thank the New York State Agricultural Experiment Station for the use of this table. Taken from Tree Fruit Crops IPM Disease Identification Sheet No. 8.

Bacterial spot: Using copper for cover sprays

This is a table from Dr. Norm Lalancette from Rutgers University showing coppers labeled for peaches / nectarines and these can be used for cover sprays. He determined the 0.5 oz./A metallic copper was a rate that minimized phytotoxicity while still controlling the disease. You can increase the rate to 1 oz./A metallic copper - a little more phytotoxicity will occur, but the fruit will be less diseased.

Copper Treatments for Bacterial Spot
Product Name Active Ingredient % Active Ingredient % Metallic Copper REI PHI Post-bloom Label Rate Post-bloom @ 0.5oz/A metallic copper Post-bloom @ 1oz/A metallic copper
Cueva Copper Octanoate 10 1.8 4 hrs 0 days 0.5-2.0 gal. 25 oz. 50 oz.
Nordox Cuprous oxide 83.9 75 12 hrs 0 days 10.7 oz. 0.7 oz. 1.4 oz.
Kocide 3000 Copper hydroxide 30DF 30 48 hrs 0 days 4.0-8.0 oz. 1.7 oz. 3.4 oz.
Mastercop (soluble) Copper sulfate pentahydrate 21.46 5.4 48 hrs 21 days 4.0-8.0 fl.oz. 7.4 fl.oz. 14.8 oz.
Champ Formula 2 Flowable Copper hydroxide 37.5F 24.4 48 hrs 21 days not listed 0.9 oz. 1.8 oz.
Copper-Count-N (soluble) Copper diammonia diacetate complex 27.15 8 48 hrs 21 days 1 qt. 5.2 fl.oz. 10.4 fl.oz.
Badge X2 Copper oxychloride + Copper hydroxide 23.82 + 21.49 28.2 48 hrs 21 days 8.0-32.0 oz. 1.8 oz. 3.6 oz.
Nu-Cop Copper hydroxide 76.77 50 48 hrs 21 days 1.0-3.0 lbs. 1.0 oz. 2.0 oz.
COCDF Copper oxychloride 84.04 50 48 hrs 21 days 1.0-3.0 lbs. 1.0 oz. 2.0 oz.

Use of trade or brand names in this publication is for clarity and information; it does not imply approval of the product to the exclusion of others that may be of similar, suitable composition, nor does it guarantee or warrant the standard of the product. When controlling for disease, weather and tree growth conditions need to be monitored at a local level within one's own orchard. Before chemical products are applied, be sure to be in compliance by obtaining the current usage regulations and examining the product label.