Pennsylvania Tree Fruit Phenology Report: April 28, 2026
Freeze-damaged Gala flowers and fruitlets at Rock Springs. Photo by Lindsay Brown, Pennsylvania State University.
Assessing the Damage
Southern Pennsylvania is in for a cool week ahead with temperatures remaining below seasonal norms and highs struggling to reach the upper 50s. These conditions are likely to slow tree development and fruit growth, making it difficult to visually assess whether fruitlets are sizing and progressing normally following the April 21 freeze event, as subtle differences in growth between damaged and healthy buds can be easy to miss.
Growers should consider tagging representative king and lateral bud clusters and checking them at regular intervals over the coming week to more reliably track fruitlet development and distinguish between buds that are recovering and those that sustained freeze damage without yet showing obvious symptoms. As confidence in primary fruit set improves, typically around the 10 mm stage, thinning decisions can be made with greater accuracy and confidence.
Most growers can take this week to assess fruit growth, with thinning decisions likely coming towards the end of the week or early next week as fruit moves into the 10 to 15 mm (roughly ½") size range given current growing conditions. Toward the weekend, if growers are considering a light thinning, applying about a pint to a quart of carbaryl per acre can help loosen clusters slightly.
When both primary and secondary bloom have survived, thinning decisions should focus on optimizing fruit quality while managing uncertainty in crop load. A careful, block-by-block assessment of fruit set is essential, distinguishing between primary fruit and those from secondary bloom.
Primary fruit typically set earlier, have stronger vascular connections, and produce larger, more uniform fruit, so they should be prioritized for retention. Secondary fruit can serve as early insurance if the primary set is questionable, but they often lag in size and maturity and can reduce overall fruit quality if too many are retained.
If assessments this week indicate that enough primary fruit have survived, a lime sulfur application can be used to selectively target secondary bloom (Figure 1), with a recommended rate of 2% lime sulfur combined with 2% stylet oil (1.5% is also fine), providing an effective early thinning option before committing to more aggressive chemical thinning programs.

Centre County and the Central Susquehanna Region
The freeze on April 20–21 impacted Central Pennsylvania when varieties were transitioning from full bloom to the petal fall stage (Figure 2).

Following assessment of the April 21 freeze event, damage across primary bloom has been significant and near total across varieties (Table 1). Honeycrisp has fared the worst, with both primary king and lateral buds confirmed dead and no secondary bloom initiating to offer any recovery potential. Gala, Pink Lady®, and Fuji show a similar pattern of primary king and lateral loss, with a few secondary live blooms at pink. Golden Delicious stands out as the most encouraging, with primary kings lost but at least one live primary lateral confirmed, and importantly, secondary bloom is now beginning to develop, offering some potential for crop recovery. Given that secondary bloom is initiating in Golden Delicious, a streptomycin spray is being planned for today and Friday to protect against fire blight infection through these late-opening secondary flowers.
| Variety | Primary Bloom | Secondary Bloom | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of Fruits | %-age Survival | No. of Flowers | %-survival | |
| Cortland | 83 | 31 % | - | - |
| Evercrisp | 67 | 36 % | 72 | 99 % |
| Gala | 100 | 15 % | 61 | 90 % |
| Honeycrisp | 123 | 24 % | 100 | 97 % |
| Jonagold | 92 | 15 % | - | - |
| Macintosh | 100 | 19 % | - | - |
| Pink Lady® | 73 | 45 % | 55 | 91 % |
Berks County
Berks County apples have just arrived at the post-bloom / fruitlet stage (Table 2). Crop assessments are being conducted but not ready for publication.
| Variety | Stage |
|---|---|
| Fuji | Post-bloom |
| Gala | Post-bloom |
| Golden Delicious | Post-bloom |
| Honeycrisp | Post-bloom |
| Pink Lady® | Post-bloom |
| Red Delicious | Post-bloom |
Adams County
Apples
Except for Golden Delicious and Pink Lady®, we followed the fruitlets measured last week (Table 3). In the last few days Aztec® Fuji king fruitlets were those that grew the most (0.76 mm/day) while RubyRush™ grew the least (0.23 mm/day). The other varieties had an average daily growth for king fruitlets of 0.54 to 0.63 mm. As expected, the lateral fruitlets randomly selected (and presumed healthy) are growing slower than the kings and they range from 0.23 mm/day for RubyRush™ to 0.51 mm/day for Aztec® Fuji. We need to keep monitoring fruitlets diameters and growth to better assess the damage due to cold snap.
| Variety | Stage | King Diameter | Lateral Diameter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evercrisp® (MAIA1) | 90% petal fall | 6.12 * | 4.62 |
| Fuji (Aztec®) | 100% petal fall | 7.19 | 5.66 |
| Gala (Buckeye®) | 100% petal fall | 6.7 | 5.74 |
| Golden Delicious | 100% petal fall | 7.35 | 5.97 |
| Honeycrisp (Premier®) | 90% petal fall | 6.29 | 4.76 |
| Honeycrisp (Royal Red®) | 100% petal fall | 6.77 * | 5.72 |
| Pink Lady® | 95% petal fall | 3.85 * | 5.72 |
| RubyRushâ„¢ (NJ150 cv.) | 95% petal fall | 6.33 | 5.43 |
Healthy growing fruitlets at this stage (11 days after full bloom (DAFB) for FREC horticultural blocks) could grow even more than 1 mm/day. It is known that slower growing fruitlets (0.25-0.30 mm/day) are more likely to abscise in the next few days (Greene et al., 2013; Hillmann et al., 2025). The loss of healthy kings may lead to a crop set on the best lateral (Figure 3).

Citations
Greene, D. W., Lakso, A. N., Robinson, T. L., & Schwallier, P. (2013). Development of a Fruitlet Growth Model to Predict Thinner Response on Apples. HortScience, 48(5), 584–587.
Hillmann, L., Gonzalez Nieto, L., Kon, T., Larson, J., Musacchi, S., Robinson, T., Serra, S., & Einhorn, T. C. (2025). An Apple Fruit Set Prediction Model From Distributions of Fruitlet Mass Accurately Estimates Abscission in Four Disparate Regions of the United States. HortScience, 60(11), 2007–2017.
Pears
The April 27th caliper measurements in the Harrow Sweet block resulted in an 11.7 mm mean diameter (n=20). In that block there was a survival of 57% of the pears after the mortality assessment conducted following the April 21st cold event. In some of those pears, a frost ring is already evident at the calyx base (Figure 4). Yellow-pedicel and cold-damaged fruitlets started dropping on the 27th.

Reference Information
Growing Degree Day Accumulation
Current growing degree days for Adams, Berks, and Centre counties are provided in Table 4.
| County | Weather Station | Base 41°F | Base 43°F | Base 50°F |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams | Biglerville (Penn State FREC) | 729 | 623 | 347 |
| Berks | Boyertown | 637 | 542 | 296 |
| Centre | Rock Springs (Penn State) | 573 | 487 | 256 |
Critical Temperatures References
The evaluations above refer to apple bud stages. The Penn State Extension article "Orchard Frost - Critical Temperatures for Various Fruits" lists in tabular format, the temperatures at which 10% and 90% bud kill is to be expected after 30-minute exposure at each stage of development, and discusses a few of the reasons for deviations from the averages. To be concise, a chart from Utah State University is included below in Figure 5, which shows photographs of the bud stages in addition to the critical temperatures.














