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Comparing 2017 and 2022 Pennsylvania Dairy Farm Census Data

The USDA conducts a Census of Ag every 5 years to collect comprehensive data on various aspects of farming. This article compares the data from the 2017 and 2022 Pennsylvania Dairy Farm Census.
Updated:
March 19, 2024

The dairy industry is a significant part of Pennsylvania’s economy and culture. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) conducts a Census of Agriculture every five years to collect comprehensive data on various aspects of farming, including dairy farming. This article compares the data from the 2017 and 2022 Pennsylvania Dairy Farm Census.

Overview of the 2017 Census Data

The 2017 Census of Agriculture provided valuable insights into the state of Pennsylvania’s dairy industry. The average dairy farm in the survey supported 1.25 households and derived 85 percent of its income from milk sales. The average participating farm milked 87.1 cows, selling 20,435 pounds of milk per cow per year, with a total herd of 100.8 cows and 83.4 heifers.

Overview of the 2022 Census Data

The 2022 Census of Agriculture data revealed some significant changes in Pennsylvania's dairy industry. Here are some key findings from the 2022 census:

Number of Farms: The total number of farms in Pennsylvania decreased by 8 percent from 2017. This decrease was most notable in mid-size farms, those ranging from 50 to 179 acres.

Average Age of Producers: The average age of all producers increased slightly to 55.4 years, up from 54.8 years in 2017. This indicates a continuing challenge in attracting younger people to farming, which is crucial for the long-term sustainability of the industry.

Farm Income: The average net income per farm increased from $42,020 in 2017 to $66,626 in 2022. This suggests that despite the decrease in the number of farms, those that remain are becoming more profitable.

Value of Production: The total value of production of all products increased to $10.3 billion, a 33% increase over $7.8 billion in 2017. This indicates a robust and growing agricultural sector in Pennsylvania.

Organic Farming: The number of organic farms decreased by 11 percent from 2017. Additionally, the value of sales for organic farming decreased from $708 million in 2017 to $628 million in 2022. This suggests that organic farmers may be facing unique challenges that are impacting their ability to remain profitable.

Key Differences and Trends

Consolidation Trend

The decrease in the number of farms, particularly mid-size farms, suggests a consolidation trend. This trend is often driven by economies of scale, where larger farms can spread their fixed costs over a larger number of cows, reducing the cost per unit of milk produced. This allows larger farms to be more competitive in the market, potentially driving smaller farms out of business. However, this consolidation can have negative impacts on rural communities, as the loss of farms can lead to job losses and reduced economic activity.

Aging Producers

The increase in the average age of producers is a concern for the future of the dairy industry. As older farmers retire, there needs to be a new generation ready to take their place. However, attracting younger people to dairy farming can be challenging due to the high capital costs of starting a farm, the long hours, and the physical demands of the work. Additionally, transitioning a farm out of dairy presents significant challenges, including declining milk prices, tight profit margins, narrow processing contracts, regulations, climate change pressures, and low consumer demand.  This trend underscores the need for programs that support new and young farmers, such as training programs, mentorship opportunities, and financial incentives.

US map showing % of young producers (under 35) by county
Young Producer (under 35) Data from NASS Data from the 2022 USDA Ag Census

Profitability of the Industry

Despite these challenges, there are positive trends as well. The increase in average net income per farm and the total value of production suggest that the industry remains robust and profitable. This profitability is crucial for the sustainability of the industry and the rural communities it supports. It indicates that despite the challenges, dairy farming can be a viable livelihood.

Organic Dairy Sector

The decrease in organic farms and their sales value may indicate challenges in the organic dairy sector. Organic farming practices can be more costly and labor-intensive than conventional farming, which can make it difficult for organic farms to compete on price. Additionally, the market for organic milk may be limited, making it harder for these farms to find buyers for their products. This trend suggests that there may be a need for more support and resources for organic dairy farmers, such as technical assistance, marketing support, and financial incentives.

Conclusion

The comparison of the 2017 and 2022 Pennsylvania Dairy Farm Census data provides valuable insights into the trends and challenges in the state’s dairy industry. While there are concerns about farm consolidation and the aging of producers, the overall profitability of the industry remains strong. These trends underscore the importance of continued support for Pennsylvania’s dairy farmers and the need for strategies to attract new and younger farmers to ensure the industry’s future sustainability.

Resources

Center for Rural Pennsylvania

Center for Dairy Excellence

Penn State Extension

USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service