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Weather Outlook for the Week of May 16, 2017

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Posted: May 17, 2017

Near-record heat and Thursday showers will transition to more seasonable weather for the weekend.

The first half of May has been more like April with temperatures 2-5 degrees oF below normal and precipitation 50-100% above normal, except for a dry spot in the vicinity of Honey Brook. This has left soil moisture across the state in pretty good shape with calculated levels near normal over all but the northern quarter of the state where levels are 40% ahead of normal. We will get a break from the cool weather on Wednesday and Thursday as it turns hot with near-record temperatures in the 80’s to near 90, and widely scattered showers across the west on Thursday. On Friday, a cold front will cross the state bringing widespread showers and thunderstorms to the southern half of the state and temperatures ranging from the low 70’s in the northwest to the 80’s in the southeast. Saturday will be cooler but pleasant with lots of sunshine and seasonable temperatures in the 70’s. Warmer air returns on Sunday to the southwest boosting temperatures to 80 degrees, but eastern portions will remain in the lower 70’s while cloudiness dogs the central mountains. A vigorous cold front will affect the state on Monday with widespread showers and thunderstorms that result in fair and seasonable weather for Tuesday. Wednesday will see increasing cloudiness with a chance for showers entering the state toward evening. The best chance for significant rainfall during the coming week will be Friday across the south, and Monday across the entire state. Longer term, temperatures and precipitation are expected to average near normal through the middle of June.